SYNOPSIS: A large upper ridge maintains control over the area tonight through Tuesday for more relatively uneventful conditions while weak disturbances rippling through in the upper flow present a slight chance of flurries tonight. Weak shortwaves in the westerly flow aloft may help to dissipate some of the stubborn overcast each afternoon, while temperatures trend slightly cooler through Wednesday.
FREEZING LEVEL: Dropping to surface tonight and again Tuesday night. Rising just above valley bottoms Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons.
FERNIE ALPINE RESORT FORECAST: TONIGHT: Cloudy with a slight chance of light flurries. Low near -6.
TUESDAY: Cloudy with a few possible sunny breaks in the afternoon. High near -2.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONTONIGHT/TMRW: 0-TR / 0
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a few evening clear breaks. Low near -7.
OUTLOOK: WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with a few possible clear breaks. High near -4. 40% chance of flurries developing overnight.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with a 60% chance of flurries. High near -3.
FRIDAY: Cloudy with a 40% chance of flurries or snow showers. High near -2.
CONFIDENCE: Fair, becoming poor to fair Wednesday night and beyond. A minority of the models continue to suggest a chance of light precipitation tonight, but confidence is fairly high that amounts would be minor. There are two separate scenarios shown regarding the timing of the next large system to push in from the coast this week. One brings the initial bands of precipitation and increased winds into the area Wednesday night, while the other holds off until Friday. The earlier scenario is favoured in this forecast, although a middle ground between the two timings is gaining credibility. Regardless, we should see some moderate snowfall in the area by the weekend. A mild southwesterly flow that accompanies this system should ensure that temperatures remain at or near their seasonal normals through the period.
