SYNOPSIS: Patchy moisture/very weak disturbances embedded in a northerly flow aloft should provide variable cloud and limited flurries at times today and Friday. Otherwise an Arctic airmass (surface based area of high pressure) will remain over southern BC for partly cloudy and cold conditions. Winds could increase as the pressure gradient tightens Friday afternoon and Friday night.
FREEZING LEVEL: Surface.
FERNIE ALPINE RESORT FORECAST: TODAY: Cloudy with sunny periods. 60% chance of flurries, mainly during the morning. Accumulation from 0 to 1 cm. High near -18.
TONIGHT: Cloudy with clear periods. 70% chance of flurries, mainly overnight. Accumulation from 0 to 2 cm. Low near -24.
FRIDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods. 60% chance of flurries, mainly during the morning. Increasing wind, high wind chill. High temperature near -20.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear with cloudy periods. Windy at times, high wind chills. Low near -27.
OUTLOOK: SATURDAY: Mainly sunny. Wind diminishing. High near -21. Low near -25.
SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy with a few flurries or occasional light snow, minor or light accumulation possible. High near -18.
MONDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods, 60% chance of flurries. High near -16.
CONFIDENCE/DISCUSSION: Fair to good confidence through Saturday, fair beyond. Some uncertainty of the timing of the very weak disturbances/patchy moisture which should provide limited flurries at times during the short term. The chance of flurries (mainly during the overnight and morning hours) is also enhanced by local trapped moisture due to a stagnating airmass. A reinforcing surge of Arctic air is anticipated to push southward from the Yukon for even colder temperatures late Friday and more so Friday night, it also supports increased wind in some areas. Weak disturbances are currently suggested to spread light snow across southern Alberta Sunday and Monday, some of this moisture is likely to spread west of the Rockies, how much moisture will spread west of the Rockies is very difficult to determine at this time.
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