SYNOPSIS: A Pacific cold front has given some snow overnight. Unstable air behind the front will make for cloudy skies today with the odd glimpse of sun, and scattered snow showers, or possible rain showers in the lower elevations. The air mass will tend to cool off a little overnight and tomorrow will see a mix of sun and cloud with just a chance of flurries and temperatures a bit cooler. Winds will be strong at times today in the higher elevations and tend to diminish overnight.
FREEZING LEVEL: Rising to near 1600 metres today. Falling early tonight to valley bottom. Slightly above valley bottom Monday.
FERNIE ALPINE RESORT FORECAST: TODAY: Mostly cloudy with snow showers, possibly mixed with rain in the lower elevations. Some showers could be heavy for a time especially this morning. Possible accumulation 4 to 10 cm today. High +1.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries. Low near -4.
MONDAY: Cloudy with a few sunny breaks. 40 percent chance of flurries. High -1.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with clear periods. Low near -6.
OUTLOOK: TUESDAY: Sunny periods, then increasing cloud in the afternoon. High near -1. Snow likely Tuesday night.
WEDNESDAY: Snow. Moderate, possibly heavy accumulation through Wednesday night. Temperature range -3 to 0.
THURSDAY: Snow tapering to snow showers and flurries. High near -2.
CONFIDENCE/DISCUSSION: Fair confidence overall. Freezing level is a bit higher than might be expected normally this time of year, behind a Pacific front, with the jet stream now lying to our south. It should come down overnight and remain more or less below the resort for the remainder of the forecast as the airmass cools a little with a more westerly flow. Snowfall amount for today is given as highly variable due to the showery and unstable air behind the front that went through overnight. A high pressure ridge should provide for relatively quiet weather for Monday and most of Tuesday before the next pacific system arrives Tuesday night. This one is looking a little bit colder than recent ones. The models are showing an intense but fairly narrow band of precipitation associated, making for challenges in forecasting amounts of snow, but it does look like a moderate snowfall, possibly more, through Christmas Eve as the wave takes a favourable track just south of the border. Christmas day shows a drying trend. Boxing Day should have a colder and relatively quiet weather after the passage of the low pressure system. Seasonal overall.
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